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"Long-term changes" is the polite translation of one sentence: the collapse of the Islamic Republic. Two key points from this analysis: 1) Reform is an illusion. Every blow it has taken has made it more brazen — one hand severed, one leg gone, one eye blind, and it still says "let go of me, let me hit him." That is not strength. That is a structure where change is structurally impossible. 2) "We are mid-way" means what we've seen so far was NOT war. Five-plus months of escalation, the first knockout punch landed on the leadership — and only now are we entering the real phase. The firepower not yet deployed operates on the scale of thousands of targets per hour. For those inside Iran living under the sound of missiles, this is a hard message. But an accurate analysis matters more than a comforting one. 📌 Save this and come back in a few months to see which part held up. 💬 Your take: are we mid-way, or still at the beginning? منبع / Source: https://youtu.be/9lcNSpNdsUU?t=1700